WarframeAlchemyLab ES
Relic opening
Refinement
Confidence

Via relics

Lith K1251.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Best relic source: Venus / Kiliken (Excavation · Rot. C · 11.1%) → 18 runs + 2 expected opens · ≈ 37 min expected total time
Lith V1151.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Best relic source: Venus / Kiliken (Excavation · Rot. C · 11.1%) → 18 runs + 2 expected opens · ≈ 37 min expected total time
Axi G6Vaulted59.04% · 1.7 expected opens · 3 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Axi P7Vaulted59.04% · 1.7 expected opens · 3 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Lith C4Vaulted59.04% · 1.7 expected opens · 3 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Lith G9Vaulted59.04% · 1.7 expected opens · 3 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Meso A7Vaulted59.04% · 1.7 expected opens · 3 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Meso C9Vaulted59.04% · 1.7 expected opens · 3 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Meso S12Vaulted59.04% · 1.7 expected opens · 3 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Neo D5Vaulted59.04% · 1.7 expected opens · 3 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Neo K4Vaulted59.04% · 1.7 expected opens · 3 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Axi A1Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Axi A4Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Axi A6Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Axi A8Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Axi D3Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Axi E2Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Axi F1Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Axi F3Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Lith N10Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Lith N18Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Lith T3Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Meso C4Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Meso D3Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Meso G8Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Meso K3Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Meso M5Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Meso N1Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Meso N5Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Meso P13Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Meso P16Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Meso R6Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Meso T1Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Neo B2Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Neo C2Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Neo D2Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Neo N4Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Neo P2Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Neo R2Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Neo R4Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Neo S10Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Neo S16Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Neo T4Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Neo V2Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Neo Z2Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.
Neo Z8Vaulted51.78% · 1.9 expected opens · 4 runs for 90%
Vaulted: not currently dropping — get it by trading or in a future unvault.

We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.

Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.