Confidence
Direct sources
Ceres / SeimeniDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 6.9 hPluto / SechuraDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 7.8 hEris / AkkadDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 8.6 hVenus / RomulaDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.5 hEarth / CobaDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.5 hMars / KadeshDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.5 hJupiter / SinaiDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.5 hSedna / SangeruDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.5 hEuropa / LarzacDefenseRot. C1.84%54.3 expected runs · 124 runs for 90% · ≈ 9.5 hDuviri / Endless: Tier 4Normal1.49%67.1 expected runs · 154 runs for 90%Duviri / Endless: Tier 6Normal1.03%97.1 expected runs · 223 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.