Confidence
Direct sources
Neptune / DespinaExcavationRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 37 minPluto / HieraconExcavationRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 37 minEuropa / CholistanExcavationRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 37 minLua / ApolloDisruptionRot. B14.29%7.0 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 41 minLua / ApolloDisruptionRot. C12.42%8.1 expected runs · 18 runs for 90% · ≈ 50 minSedna / BerehyniaInterceptionRot. B14.29%7.0 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 50 minSedna / BerehyniaInterceptionRot. C14.29%7.0 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 50 minPluto / CerberusInterceptionRot. B14.29%7.0 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 53 minPluto / CerberusInterceptionRot. C14.29%7.0 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 53 minEris / XiniInterceptionRot. B14.29%7.0 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 53 minEris / XiniInterceptionRot. C14.29%7.0 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 53 minEris / SporidInterceptionRot. B14.29%7.0 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 55 minEris / SporidInterceptionRot. C14.29%7.0 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 55 minEris / PhalanInterceptionRot. B14.29%7.0 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 55 minEris / PhalanInterceptionRot. C14.29%7.0 expected runs · 15 runs for 90% · ≈ 55 minSedna / KappaDisruptionRot. C10.20%9.8 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 59 minDeimos / ArmatusDisruptionRot. C10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90% · ≈ 62 minVoid / MithraInterceptionRot. C10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 77 minUranus / CaelusInterceptionRot. C9.68%10.3 expected runs · 23 runs for 90% · ≈ 84 minEris / ZabalaSurvivalRot. C12.50%8.0 expected runs · 18 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hUranus / MirandaDefenseRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hUranus / BiancaDefenseRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hUranus / StephanoDefenseRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hNeptune / ProteusDefenseRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hPluto / Outer TerminusDefenseRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hEris / Kala-AzarDefenseRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hEris / IxodesDefenseRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hLua / StöFlerDefenseRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hKuva Fortress / NabukDefenseRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.5 hLua / YuvariumSurvivalRot. C11.36%8.8 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hUranus / OpheliaSurvivalRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hUranus / CupidSurvivalRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hUranus / AssurSurvivalRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hNeptune / KelashinSurvivalRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hPluto / PalusSurvivalRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hEris / HymenoSurvivalRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hEris / NimusSurvivalRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hSedna / SelkieSurvivalRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hSedna / HydronDefenseRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hSedna / ScyllaSurvivalRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hSedna / YemajaSurvivalRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hSedna / AmarnaSurvivalRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hDeimos / TerroremSurvivalRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hLua / TychoSurvivalRot. C11.06%9.0 expected runs · 20 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.7 hVoid / MotSurvivalRot. C10.84%9.2 expected runs · 21 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.8 hJupiter / GanymedeDisruptionRot. C5.00%20.0 expected runs · 45 runs for 90% · ≈ 1.9 hHöllvania / Solstice SquareDefenseRot. C8.18%12.2 expected runs · 27 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.1 hVoid / MardukSabotage6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.1 hMars / Tyana PassDefenseRot. C7.90%12.7 expected runs · 28 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.1 hKuva Fortress / TaveuniSurvivalRot. C8.00%12.5 expected runs · 28 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.3 hUranus / MirandaDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hUranus / BiancaDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hUranus / StephanoDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hNeptune / ProteusDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hPluto / Outer TerminusDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hEris / Kala-AzarDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hEris / IxodesDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hLua / StöFlerDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hKuva Fortress / NabukDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.6 hSedna / HydronDefenseRot. B6.67%15.0 expected runs · 34 runs for 90% · ≈ 2.8 hSanctuary / Elite Sanctuary OnslaughtSanctuary OnslaughtRot. C6.32%15.8 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.0 hVoid / AtenMobile Defense6.25%16.0 expected runs · 36 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.0 hLua / CirculusSurvivalRot. C6.12%16.3 expected runs · 37 runs for 90% · ≈ 3.1 hVoid / BelenusDefenseRot. C2.82%35.5 expected runs · 81 runs for 90% · ≈ 6.2 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 50-60BountyRot. A3.00%33.3 expected runs · 76 runs for 90% · ≈ 8.9 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 50-60BountyRot. B3.00%33.3 expected runs · 76 runs for 90% · ≈ 8.9 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 50-60BountyRot. A1.50%66.7 expected runs · 153 runs for 90% · ≈ 17.9 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 50-60BountyRot. B1.50%66.7 expected runs · 153 runs for 90% · ≈ 17.9 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 50-60BountyRot. A1.50%66.7 expected runs · 153 runs for 90% · ≈ 17.9 hDeimos / Cambion Drift · Nivel 50-60BountyRot. B1.50%66.7 expected runs · 153 runs for 90% · ≈ 17.9 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 15-25BountyRot. A0.67%149.3 expected runs · 343 runs for 90% · ≈ 40.0 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 15-25BountyRot. A0.58%172.4 expected runs · 396 runs for 90% · ≈ 46.2 hVoid / MithraInterceptionRot. C0.29%344.8 expected runs · 793 runs for 90% · ≈ 48.5 hEarth / Cetus · Nivel 15-25BountyRot. A0.42%238.1 expected runs · 548 runs for 90% · ≈ 63.9 hVoid / MotSurvivalRot. C0.29%344.8 expected runs · 793 runs for 90% · ≈ 66.1 hNeptune / YursaDefectionRot. C10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / Sabmir CloudSkirmishRot. B10.00%10.0 expected runs · 22 runs for 90%Eris / OestrusInfested SalvageRot. B7.69%13.0 expected runs · 29 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / Arc SilverSkirmishRot. B5.71%17.5 expected runs · 40 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / Lu-YanSkirmishRot. B5.71%17.5 expected runs · 40 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / EratoSkirmishRot. B4.55%22.0 expected runs · 50 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / CalabashSkirmish2.41%41.5 expected runs · 95 runs for 90%Veil Proxima / NuminaSkirmish2.41%41.5 expected runs · 95 runs for 90%
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.