Confidence
Direct sources
Mercury / CaduceusExterminate38.72%2.6 expected runs · 5 runs for 90% · ≈ 13 minVenus / MontesExterminate38.72%2.6 expected runs · 5 runs for 90% · ≈ 13 minMars / SyrtisExterminate38.72%2.6 expected runs · 5 runs for 90% · ≈ 13 minUranus / CaelusInterceptionRot. A2.51%39.8 expected runs · 91 runs for 90% · ≈ 5.6 h
We assume ~2.5 min per relic opening (short fissure). Per-mission timings are labeled by source: derived from game mechanics or community-estimated.
Expected runs = 100/chance · Runs for confidence p = ⌈ln(1−p)/ln(1−chance)⌉ · In a squad of 4 opening the same relic, the chance your part shows among the reveals is 1−(1−chance)⁴.